P. Scott Shearer, Vice President

May 14, 2012

1 Min Read
USDA Estimates Record Corn Supplies, Lower Prices

 

USDA’s first assessment of 2012-13 domestic and global supply and demand prospects puts the 2012 corn crop at 14.79 billion bushels compared to 12.36 billion last year.  USDA projects a 5.1 million acre increase in harvested area.  Corn yield is projected at a record 166 bu./acre. 

Total supplies are estimated at 15.66 billion bushels and stocks will reach 1.88 billion bushels.  Ethanol demand for corn will remain at 5 billion bushels in 2012-13.  Exports are estimated to increase to 1.9 billion bushels compared to 1.7 billion bushels this year. 

Feed and residual use will increase by 900 million bushels to 5.45 billion bushels.  Corn prices are estimated to drop from $5.95 to $6.25/bu. to $4.20 to $5.00/bu.  Soybean production is estimated at 3.205 billion bushels on 73 million harvested acres.  Soybean yields are estimated at 43.9 bu./acre, up 2.4 bushels from last year.  Soybean supplies for 2012-13 are estimated at 3.43 billion bushels, an increase of 4% from 2011-12.  Soybean prices are estimated at $12 to $14/bu., compared to $12.35/bu. in 2011-12.  Wheat production is estimated at 2.245 billion bushels, up 12% from last year.  

About the Author(s)

P. Scott Shearer

Vice President, Bockorny Group, Inc.

Scott Shearer is vice president of the Bockorny Group Inc., a leading bipartisan government affairs consulting firm in Washington, D.C. With more than 30 years experience in government and corporate relations in state and national arenas, he is recognized as a leader in agricultural trade issues, having served as co-chairman of the Agricultural Coalition for U.S.-China Trade and co-chairman of the Agricultural Coalition for Trade Promotion Authority. Scott was instrumental in the passage of China Permanent Normal Trade Relations and TPA. He is past chairman of the USDA-USTR Agricultural Technical Advisory Committee for Trade in Animals and Animal Products and was a member of the USAID Food Security Advisory Committee. Prior to joining the Bockorny Group, Scott served as director of national relations for Farmland Industries Inc., as well as USDA’s Deputy Assistant Secretary for Congressional Affairs (1993-96), serving as liaison for the Secretary of Agriculture and the USDA to Congress.

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